( HINT: Click-and-drag left-to-right on a chart to zoom in to a specific date range. Double-click on a chart to zoom back out. )
The CrystalBull Stock Market Trend Indicator Year-to_date Chart, For Monthly Market TimingThis is the year-to-date chart of the proprietary CrystalBull Trend Indicator in relation to the S&P 500. This is the best indicator we have found for the current stock market monthly trend, based on price levels alone. This algorithm looks for market tops and bottoms to be established, so may lag the exact market trend reversal points by a short period. This market timing model is for long-term investors who seek to avoid secular drawdowns.
From Dec. 31, 1969 through Dec. 31, 2021, following the CrystalBull Trend Indicator would have, hypothetically, produced a Total Return 1.17 times that of a Buy-and-Hold strategy (26558.67% vs. 22657.96%), with an average compound annual total return of 11.34% APR (The compound annual growth rate of the S&P 500 during this period was just 11.0% APR). This Indicator had 27 round turn trades over 52.0 years, and was in the market (exposed to market risk) 73.1% of the time. Click here to see historical readings of the CrystalBull Trend Indicator
HOW TO USE: The aqua-blue line in the bottom chart represents the CrystalBull Trend Indicator. It is calculated at the end of each month, based on the currently available stock market price data. Values above zero indicate a possible positive trend going forward, and values below zero indicate a possible negative trend going forward.
NOTE: Use the "Legend" link above the CrystalBull Trend Indicator chart to hide/display/isolate various other experimental stock market indicators, by clicking on the corresponding series.