Total Return S&P 500 CrystalBull
YTD (Nov 20th) YTD +26.09% +14.92%
2018 2018 -4.46% +0.60%
1 cycle (2007-2019) 2007-19 +148.02% +1407.16%
2 cycles (2000-2019) 2000-19 +186.28% +9602.52%
*hypothetical results based on current model
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Real PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) Chart

This chart shows the year-over-year change in Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), in relation to the S&P 500.  Real PCE measures consumer spending in real, inflation-adjusted dollars, so is valuable in GDP studies, and retail and consumer goods stock analysis.  High PCE can also indicate higher demand-push inflationary times ahead, so can be a leading input.

Note that Real PCE falls during recessions, as one would expect.

NOTE: Use the Legend link above the PCE chart to display hidden headline CPI values.


( HINT:  Click-and-drag left-to-right on a chart to zoom in to a specific date range.  Double-click on a chart to zoom back out. )

  = recessions